Britten Coyne Partners

Strategic Risk Blog Posts

21May21: COVID Has Laid Bare Too Many Leaders' Lack of Critical Thinking Skills

8Apr21: The BIN Model of Forecasting Errors and Its Implications for Improving Predictive Accuracy

17Mar21: Complexity, Wicked Problems, and AI-Augmented Decision Making

6Feb21: How to Effectively Communicate Forecast Probability and Analytic Confidence

26Jan21: Why Did So Many Investors Ignore Warnings Before the Crash of 2021?

9Jan21: The Fall of the US Capitol: All Three Causes of Strategic Risk Failure Were at Work

16Dec20: COVID-19's Lessons in Strategic Failure for Boards and Management Teams

23Oct20: Three Great New Columns on Avoiding Strategic Failure

27Aug20: What's Ahead for the Economy? Insights from the KC Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium

18Jul20: How to Avoid Intelligence Analysis Errors

24Jun20: Using Narratives to Make Sense of High Uncertainty

1Jun20: Britten Coyne Announces New Online Version of their Strategic Risk Governance and Management Certified Competence Course

6May20
: A Deeper Look at Individual Reactions to the COVID-19 Surprise

6Apr20: A Damning New Report on the State of Risk Oversight Before COVID19

1Apr20: The Lessons of a Global Existential Threat

25Mar20: Strategic Risk Failure: Why Did Markets Take So Long to React to COVID-19?

28Feb20: Solving the Independent Director Problem Raised by Warren Buffett

25Feb20: Fundamental Sources of Forecast Error and Uncertainty

20Feb20: Critical Uncertainties About the Wuhan Coronavirus

7Feb20: New NACD Survey Highlights Strategy and Risk Challenges Facing Directors and Boards

24Jan20: Chronic Illnesses Kill Organizations Too

2Jan20: Reduce Overload by Seeking High Value Information

19Dec19: Implications of the Queen's Speech for Board Strategic Risk Governance

3Dec19: Important Lessons from Two New Reports on Communicating Uncertainty

30Oct19: Review of “Forecasting in Social Settings: The State of the Art” by Makridakis et al

21Oct19: The Critical Importance of Process in Board Decision Making

9Oct19: ASIC's Warning on Director Oversight of Non-Financial Risks

22Sep19: Risk Through the Lens of Strategy, Management, and Leadership

28Aug19: The Critical Importance of Anticipatory Intelligence in Our Complex, Uncertain World

12Jul19: The Emerging Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Strategic Risk Management and Governance: A New Indicator

22Jun19: Fraud at Patisserie Valerie -- What Can We Learn?

3May19: Lessons for Boards and Management Teams from Planetary Defense Planning

30Mar19: Comments on the Protiviti/NC State "Top Risks 2019" Survey

19Mar19: Occurrence versus Emergence

11Mar19: Strategy in a World of Radical Uncertainty

1Mar19: Lessons from 16 Years of Scenario Planning at the US Department of Defense

19Dec18: The UK Has Just Raised the Risk Governance Bar for Company Directors

15Oct18: RAND’s New Analysis of Strategic Warning Challenges Facing the Intelligence Community Applies to the Private Sector Too

17Sep18: Lessons from the Failure of Long Term Capital Management, 20 Years Later

20Aug18: Review of “Meltdown: Why Our Systems Fail and What We Can Do About It”

8Aug18: Getting More Out of PEST/PESTLE/STEEPLED Analyses

26Jul18: Questions for Audit Committees About Your Risk Register

9Jul18: Yoda is Right About Failure

25Jun18: However Awkward, Boards Need to Confront Overconfident CEOs

18Jun18: Asking the Right Forecasting Questions

14May18: New Research: "Is Belief Superiority Justified by Superior Knowledge?"

28Apr18: Three Techniques for Weighing Evidence to Reach a Conclusion

14Apr18: How Conceptual Elegance Can Lead to Risk Blindness

1Apr18: Modeling -- Not as Easy as it Looks!

17Mar18: Toys R Us' Most Important Lesson for Boards

21Feb18: Robust, Resilient, and Adaptive Organizations

30Jan18: Carrillion: Old Lessons from a New Failure

21Jan18: Different Approaches to Classifying Risks

6Jan18: Probability versus Plausibility in the Assessment of Uncertainty

24Dec17: Categorizing Uncertainty to Better Manage It

13Dec17: Understanding Explanation - A Critical Skill for Strategy and Risk

3Dec17: Sudden Social Shifts and Strategic Risk

25Nov17: Ethical Dilemmas at the Heart of Risk Management and Governance

19Nov17: Critical Modeling Tradeoffs We Ignore at Our Peril

12Nov17: The Strategist's Art

5Nov17: Cutting Through Risk Management's Confusing Terminology

27Oct17: What Makes an Effective Early Warning Indicator?

20Oct17: The Confusing Terms We Use When Thinking About the Future

16Oct17: Neglected Existential Risks and Valuation Shocks

7Oct17: What is High Value Information?

3Oct17: Reflections on the Failure of Northern Rock

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