Britten Coyne Partners
Strategic Risk Blog Posts
2Jul21: Meeting the Challenges of the C-Level Executive to Board Director Transition
21May21: COVID Has Laid Bare Too Many Leaders' Lack of Critical Thinking Skills
8Apr21: The BIN Model of Forecasting Errors and Its Implications for Improving Predictive Accuracy
17Mar21: Complexity, Wicked Problems, and AI-Augmented Decision Making
6Feb21: How to Effectively Communicate Forecast Probability and Analytic Confidence
26Jan21: Why Did So Many Investors Ignore Warnings Before the Crash of 2021?
9Jan21: The Fall of the US Capitol: All Three Causes of Strategic Risk Failure Were at Work
16Dec20: COVID-19's Lessons in Strategic Failure for Boards and Management Teams
23Oct20: Three Great New Columns on Avoiding Strategic Failure
27Aug20: What's Ahead for the Economy? Insights from the KC Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium
18Jul20: How to Avoid Intelligence Analysis Errors
24Jun20: Using Narratives to Make Sense of High Uncertainty
1Jun20: Britten Coyne Announces New Online Version of their Strategic Risk Governance and Management Certified Competence Course
6May20: A Deeper Look at Individual Reactions to the COVID-19 Surprise
6Apr20: A Damning New Report on the State of Risk Oversight Before COVID19
1Apr20: The Lessons of a Global Existential Threat
25Mar20: Strategic Risk Failure: Why Did Markets Take So Long to React to COVID-19?
28Feb20: Solving the Independent Director Problem Raised by Warren Buffett
25Feb20: Fundamental Sources of Forecast Error and Uncertainty
20Feb20: Critical Uncertainties About the Wuhan Coronavirus
7Feb20: New NACD Survey Highlights Strategy and Risk Challenges Facing Directors and Boards
24Jan20: Chronic Illnesses Kill Organizations Too
2Jan20: Reduce Overload by Seeking High Value Information
19Dec19: Implications of the Queen's Speech for Board Strategic Risk Governance
3Dec19: Important Lessons from Two New Reports on Communicating Uncertainty
30Oct19: Review of “Forecasting in Social Settings: The State of the Art” by Makridakis et al
21Oct19: The Critical Importance of Process in Board Decision Making
9Oct19: ASIC's Warning on Director Oversight of Non-Financial Risks
22Sep19: Risk Through the Lens of Strategy, Management, and Leadership
28Aug19: The Critical Importance of Anticipatory Intelligence in Our Complex, Uncertain World
12Jul19: The Emerging Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Strategic Risk Management and Governance: A New Indicator
22Jun19: Fraud at Patisserie Valerie -- What Can We Learn?
3May19: Lessons for Boards and Management Teams from Planetary Defense Planning
30Mar19: Comments on the Protiviti/NC State "Top Risks 2019" Survey
19Mar19: Occurrence versus Emergence
11Mar19: Strategy in a World of Radical Uncertainty
1Mar19: Lessons from 16 Years of Scenario Planning at the US Department of Defense
19Dec18: The UK Has Just Raised the Risk Governance Bar for Company Directors
15Oct18: RAND’s New Analysis of Strategic Warning Challenges Facing the Intelligence Community Applies to the Private Sector Too
17Sep18: Lessons from the Failure of Long Term Capital Management, 20 Years Later
20Aug18: Review of “Meltdown: Why Our Systems Fail and What We Can Do About It”
8Aug18: Getting More Out of PEST/PESTLE/STEEPLED Analyses
26Jul18: Questions for Audit Committees About Your Risk Register
9Jul18: Yoda is Right About Failure
25Jun18: However Awkward, Boards Need to Confront Overconfident CEOs
18Jun18: Asking the Right Forecasting Questions
14May18: New Research: "Is Belief Superiority Justified by Superior Knowledge?"
28Apr18: Three Techniques for Weighing Evidence to Reach a Conclusion
14Apr18: How Conceptual Elegance Can Lead to Risk Blindness
1Apr18: Modeling -- Not as Easy as it Looks!
17Mar18: Toys R Us' Most Important Lesson for Boards
21Feb18: Robust, Resilient, and Adaptive Organizations
30Jan18: Carrillion: Old Lessons from a New Failure
21Jan18: Different Approaches to Classifying Risks
6Jan18: Probability versus Plausibility in the Assessment of Uncertainty
24Dec17: Categorizing Uncertainty to Better Manage It
13Dec17: Understanding Explanation - A Critical Skill for Strategy and Risk
3Dec17: Sudden Social Shifts and Strategic Risk
25Nov17: Ethical Dilemmas at the Heart of Risk Management and Governance
19Nov17: Critical Modeling Tradeoffs We Ignore at Our Peril
12Nov17: The Strategist's Art
5Nov17: Cutting Through Risk Management's Confusing Terminology
27Oct17: What Makes an Effective Early Warning Indicator?
20Oct17: The Confusing Terms We Use When Thinking About the Future
16Oct17: Neglected Existential Risks and Valuation Shocks
7Oct17: What is High Value Information?
3Oct17: Reflections on the Failure of Northern Rock
21May21: COVID Has Laid Bare Too Many Leaders' Lack of Critical Thinking Skills
8Apr21: The BIN Model of Forecasting Errors and Its Implications for Improving Predictive Accuracy
17Mar21: Complexity, Wicked Problems, and AI-Augmented Decision Making
6Feb21: How to Effectively Communicate Forecast Probability and Analytic Confidence
26Jan21: Why Did So Many Investors Ignore Warnings Before the Crash of 2021?
9Jan21: The Fall of the US Capitol: All Three Causes of Strategic Risk Failure Were at Work
16Dec20: COVID-19's Lessons in Strategic Failure for Boards and Management Teams
23Oct20: Three Great New Columns on Avoiding Strategic Failure
27Aug20: What's Ahead for the Economy? Insights from the KC Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium
18Jul20: How to Avoid Intelligence Analysis Errors
24Jun20: Using Narratives to Make Sense of High Uncertainty
1Jun20: Britten Coyne Announces New Online Version of their Strategic Risk Governance and Management Certified Competence Course
6May20: A Deeper Look at Individual Reactions to the COVID-19 Surprise
6Apr20: A Damning New Report on the State of Risk Oversight Before COVID19
1Apr20: The Lessons of a Global Existential Threat
25Mar20: Strategic Risk Failure: Why Did Markets Take So Long to React to COVID-19?
28Feb20: Solving the Independent Director Problem Raised by Warren Buffett
25Feb20: Fundamental Sources of Forecast Error and Uncertainty
20Feb20: Critical Uncertainties About the Wuhan Coronavirus
7Feb20: New NACD Survey Highlights Strategy and Risk Challenges Facing Directors and Boards
24Jan20: Chronic Illnesses Kill Organizations Too
2Jan20: Reduce Overload by Seeking High Value Information
19Dec19: Implications of the Queen's Speech for Board Strategic Risk Governance
3Dec19: Important Lessons from Two New Reports on Communicating Uncertainty
30Oct19: Review of “Forecasting in Social Settings: The State of the Art” by Makridakis et al
21Oct19: The Critical Importance of Process in Board Decision Making
9Oct19: ASIC's Warning on Director Oversight of Non-Financial Risks
22Sep19: Risk Through the Lens of Strategy, Management, and Leadership
28Aug19: The Critical Importance of Anticipatory Intelligence in Our Complex, Uncertain World
12Jul19: The Emerging Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Strategic Risk Management and Governance: A New Indicator
22Jun19: Fraud at Patisserie Valerie -- What Can We Learn?
3May19: Lessons for Boards and Management Teams from Planetary Defense Planning
30Mar19: Comments on the Protiviti/NC State "Top Risks 2019" Survey
19Mar19: Occurrence versus Emergence
11Mar19: Strategy in a World of Radical Uncertainty
1Mar19: Lessons from 16 Years of Scenario Planning at the US Department of Defense
19Dec18: The UK Has Just Raised the Risk Governance Bar for Company Directors
15Oct18: RAND’s New Analysis of Strategic Warning Challenges Facing the Intelligence Community Applies to the Private Sector Too
17Sep18: Lessons from the Failure of Long Term Capital Management, 20 Years Later
20Aug18: Review of “Meltdown: Why Our Systems Fail and What We Can Do About It”
8Aug18: Getting More Out of PEST/PESTLE/STEEPLED Analyses
26Jul18: Questions for Audit Committees About Your Risk Register
9Jul18: Yoda is Right About Failure
25Jun18: However Awkward, Boards Need to Confront Overconfident CEOs
18Jun18: Asking the Right Forecasting Questions
14May18: New Research: "Is Belief Superiority Justified by Superior Knowledge?"
28Apr18: Three Techniques for Weighing Evidence to Reach a Conclusion
14Apr18: How Conceptual Elegance Can Lead to Risk Blindness
1Apr18: Modeling -- Not as Easy as it Looks!
17Mar18: Toys R Us' Most Important Lesson for Boards
21Feb18: Robust, Resilient, and Adaptive Organizations
30Jan18: Carrillion: Old Lessons from a New Failure
21Jan18: Different Approaches to Classifying Risks
6Jan18: Probability versus Plausibility in the Assessment of Uncertainty
24Dec17: Categorizing Uncertainty to Better Manage It
13Dec17: Understanding Explanation - A Critical Skill for Strategy and Risk
3Dec17: Sudden Social Shifts and Strategic Risk
25Nov17: Ethical Dilemmas at the Heart of Risk Management and Governance
19Nov17: Critical Modeling Tradeoffs We Ignore at Our Peril
12Nov17: The Strategist's Art
5Nov17: Cutting Through Risk Management's Confusing Terminology
27Oct17: What Makes an Effective Early Warning Indicator?
20Oct17: The Confusing Terms We Use When Thinking About the Future
16Oct17: Neglected Existential Risks and Valuation Shocks
7Oct17: What is High Value Information?
3Oct17: Reflections on the Failure of Northern Rock